The fall of El Fasher and mass atrocities in Darfur

On 26 October 2025, the Rapid Support Forces captured the division of the 6th infantry division of the Sudanese Armed Forces, fully consolidating their control of El Fasher in the following days. Subsequently, reports of mass atrocities by the RSF against Zaghawa and other non-Arab people trapped inside El Fasher emerged.

I spoke to several media outlets about the fall-out and implications of these events.

Interview with DLF Kultur Studio 9, 28.10.2025

Interview with ZDF Heute Update, 28.10.2025

Interview with Phoenix Der Tag, 28.10.2025

Interview with ZDF Heute Journal, 29.10.2025

Interview with SR Kultur Bilanz am Abend, 29.10.2025 (from 3:40)

Interview with Deutsche Welle, 31.10.2025 (from 16:10) (in English)

Quotes in ZEIT Online, 05.11.2025

Interview with Deutschlandfunk, Informationen am Morgen, 08.11.2025

Quotes in Deutschlandfunk Kultur, 12.11.2025

Gespräch über Hintergründe zum Konfliktgeschehen in Sudan

Erschienen in UNEINS Magazin 3/2025, Juli 2025

Sudans Geschichte ist von zahlreichen Kriegen und gewaltsamen Konflikten geprägt. Können Sie uns einen Überblick zur Kolonialgeschichte des Sudan geben?

Zu Beginn des 19. Jahrhunderts war Sudan noch kein einheitlicher Staat. Das Gebiet war in unterschiedliche Sultanate und andere Herrschaftsformen unterteilt. Ab 1820 eroberten Kräfte aus Ägypten weite Teile des heutigen Staatsgebiets. Ägypten unterstand zu der Zeit der osmanischen Oberhoheit – der albanische Herrscher Muhammad Ali hatte es vorrangig auf Gold und Sklav:innen abgesehen, um seinen regionalen Einfluss zu vergrößern. Bereits unter dem turko-ägyptischen Einfluss galten dunkelhäutige Menschen aus dem Westen oder Süden als Sklav:innen, auch wenn sie Muslime wurden.

Gegen Ende des 19. Jahrhunderts setzte sich zunächst eine einheimische Widerstandsbewegung um den Mahdi durch, eine religiöse und politische Erweckungsfigur, die einen erfolgreichen Aufstand gegen die koloniale Besatzung anführte (1883-98). Dabei gerierte sich die Mahdi-Herrschaft als Verteidiger marginalisierter Gruppen – die Armee bestand überwiegend aus Menschen aus Darfur und dem Süden. 1898 besiegten britische Truppen die Mahdi-Herrschaft und dehnten damit ihre Dominanz des Nilbeckens von Ägypten bis nach Sudan aus. Den Süden des Landes erklärten die Kolonialherren ab den 1920ern zum „geschlossenen“ Gebiet, wodurch der Aufbau von Infrastruktur und Zugang für Nicht-Einheimische beschränkt wurde. Das Sultanat von Darfur wurde erst 1916 Teil Sudans.

Die britisch-ägyptische Kolonialherrschaft beutete Rohstoffe, Arbeitskraft und Land in fruchtbaren Gebieten des Sudan im Zentrum aus. Gleichzeitig hatte Großbritannien das strategische Ziel, den eigenen Einflussbereich am Nil zu erweitern. Der Nil war zur Kontrolle von Ägypten entscheidend und Ägypten wiederum für den Suez-Kanal und die Route nach Indien. 

1956 wurde der Sudan unabhängig. Mit welchen Herausforderungen war das Land in Folge konfrontiert? 

Die Geschichte des Sudan seit der Unabhängigkeit ist geprägt von Bürgerkriegen und Militärherrschaften, aber auch von zivilen Aufständen dagegen. 

Seit 1956 wurde der Sudan die meiste Zeit von Militärs, die durch Putsche an die Macht kamen, regiert. Im selben Zeitraum gab es aber auch drei zivile Aufstände, die zum Sturz der jeweiligen Militärregierungen führten. Die Oktoberrevolution von 1964, die die Militärherrschaft von Ibrahim Abboud beendete, und der Aufstand 1985, der zum Sturz von Jafa’ar Nimeiri führte, sind bis heute wichtige Bezugspunkte, auf die sich z.B. auch die Revolutionsbewegung 2018/2019 berief. 

Zwei von insgesamt drei großen Bürgerkriegen im Sudan fanden zwischen Rebellenbewegungen im Süden – dem heutigen Südsudan – und Regierungen im Norden des Sudan statt. Der erste Bürgerkrieg von 1955 bis 1972 endete mit Zugeständnissen zugunsten der Autonomie des Südsudans. Im zweiten Bürgerkrieg von 1983-2005 waren die Kämpfe zwischen der Rebellenbewegung Sudan People’s Liberation Movement (SPLM) sowie einer abtrünnigen Fraktion, die von der Regierung in Khartum unterstützt wurde, über weite Teile verlustreicher als Auseinandersetzungen zwischen SPLM und Regierungsarmee. 

Zu Beginn des 21. Jahrhunderts brach ein weiterer Bürgerkrieg aus. Welche Ursachen gab es für den Darfur-Konflikt?

Die Geschichte und Politik Sudans ist geprägt von der Ausbeutung von Ressourcen und Arbeitskräften der Peripherie durch die wechselnden politischen Akteure im Land. Dies führte zu Gegenbewegungen in verschiedenen Teilen des Landes, besonders im Westen in der Region Darfur. Anfang der 2000er bildeten sich dort Rebellenbewegungen, gegen die die Regierung einen Krieg führte. Dieser wirkte sich stark zu Lasten der Zivilbevölkerung aus. 

Für den Darfur-Konflikt sind Auswirkungen der Klimaveränderung von großer Bedeutung. Sie betreffen die Region besonders stark; die erratischen Regenfälle und die Ausweitung der Wüste nach Süden führten zu einer Veränderung der saisonalen Migrationsbewegung. Das veränderte das Verhältnis zwischen nomadischer und sesshafter Bevölkerung, die oft unterschiedlichen Volksgruppen angehören, die „arabisch“ bzw. „afrikanisch“ gelesen werden. Dieses Konfliktpotential wurde von verschiedenen Seiten weiter politisiert und instrumentalisiert. 

Die Rebellen kamen aus nicht-arabischen Bevölkerungsgruppen aus Darfur, insbesondere den Zaghawa, Fur und Masalit. Gegen diese setzte die damalige Regierung unter Omar al-Bashir bereits bestehende Milizen ein, die sich aus arabischen Volksgruppen rekrutierten. Diese Milizen wurden bewaffnet, ausgebildet und arbeiteten mit dem formalen Militär zusammen. Sie wurden lokal Janjaweed (“Teufelsreiter”) genannt. Aus einer Gruppe der Janjaweed entstand 2013 die paramilitärische Miliz Rapid Support Forces (RSF), die im aktuellen Konflikt eine große Rolle spielt. Die Janjaweed gingen oft brandschatzend, plündernd und mordend gegen die nicht-arabische Zivilbevölkerung vor. Millionen von ihnen wurden vertrieben und blieben teilweise auch 20 Jahre nach Beginn des Kriegs noch in Vertriebenenlagern.

Die RSF besiegten die meisten bewaffneten Rebellengruppen schließlich, deren Reste sich nach Libyen zurückzogen. 2020 handelten Vertreter dieser besiegten Gruppen mit RSF und der Armee ein Friedensabkommen aus, das ihnen den Zugang zur Macht brachte und den Konflikt beendete – letzteres allerdings nur auf dem Papier.

2011 wurde der Südsudan unabhängig. Was bedeutete das für den Rest Sudans?

Die Unabhängigkeit Südsudans war in dem Umfassenden Friedensabkommen von 2005 als Möglichkeit vorgesehen. 2011 entschied sich die Bevölkerung des Südsudans in einem Referendum für die Unabhängigkeit. Dadurch verlor der Rest Sudans seine wichtigste Einkommensquelle: Ein Großteil der Staatseinnahmen und des Brutto-Inlandsprodukts kam aus der Ölindustrie. Die meisten Ölquellen befinden sich jedoch im Südsudan. Auch erhebliche Transferzahlungen für den Transport des Öls über Pipelines in Sudan zum Roten Meer konnten den Verlust dieser Einnahmequelle nicht ausgleichen. Das wurde zum Problem für das Regime von Omar al-Bashir. Das Regime praktizierte ein Patronage-Modell, durch das Treibstoff, Mehl und Medikamente für Eliten und die städtische Bevölkerung stark subventioniert wurde. Im Herbst 2018 wurden diese Subventionen zurückgefahren, was zu Protesten führte, die sich zuerst gegen den daraus folgenden Anstieg von Brotpreisen richteten.

Zur Revolution 2018/2019 und der Rolle der Jugendbewegungen darin gibt es bereits einen Beitrag im vorliegenden UNEINS Impulse. Können Sie uns erläutern, was nach dem Sturz von al-Bashir geschah?

Nach monatelangen Massenprotesten kam es schließlich zum Sturz von Bashir im April 2019. Das Militär und der Geheimdienst, die Bashir in einer Palast-Revolte entfernt hatten, glaubten, durch die Entfernung dieser Führungsfigur das System bewahren zu können. Das durchschauten die Protestierenden allerdings sofort. Sie verweigerten den Abbau des großen Protestcamps vor dem Militärhauptquartier im Zentrum von Khartum und forderten: “Wir wollen eine Madaniya, eine zivile Herrschaft”. Das Protestcamp bestand mehrere Monate lang. Im Morgengrauen des 3. Juni 2019 überfielen und zerstörten Sicherheitskräfte das Protestlager, töteten über 120 Menschen, vergewaltigten und verfolgten einzelne Protestierende. Doch trotz Internetsperren schaffte es die sudanesische Zivilgesellschaft Ende Juni, eine nie dagewesene Mobilisierung auf die Beine zu stellen – nicht nur in Khartum, sondern im ganzen Land. Gleichzeitig gab es Verhandlungen auch mit Unterstützung der Afrikanischen Union und Äthiopiens zwischen politischen Parteien, Gewerkschaften, Berufsverbänden und dem Militär, die schließlich im Sommer 2019 zur Einigung auf eine zivil-militärische Übergangsregierung führten. 

Wie kam es zum Kriegsausbruch 2023?

Der Übergangsregierung kam zunächst große Unterstützung und Euphorie in Sudan und in der Welt zuteil. Zu diesem Zeitpunkt war der Staat jedoch bereits ausgelaugt. Die Ministerien waren zuvor von Personen besetzt, die oft unqualifiziert waren, weil sie nur aufgrund ihrer Loyalität zum Regime diese Posten erhalten hatten. Sie wurden breitflächig entfernt, der Staat hatte im Anschluss jedoch sehr wenige Kapazitäten, um Reformen umzusetzen. In der Folge gab es Unruhen, gleichzeitig versuchten auch Kräfte des gestürzten Bashir-Regimes – er selbst war im Gefängnis – zurückzukommen. Diese Regierung hielt sich für rund zwei Jahre, bis es zu einem Putsch kam. Die paramilitärische RSF und die Armee putschten zusammen, bzw. sie entfernten die zivilen Anteile der Regierung, da sie selbst schon in der Regierung vertreten waren. Ihr Ziel war es, eine Technokraten-Regierung ohne zivile Parteien durchzusetzen. Das wollte die Zivilbevölkerung aber nicht zulassen. Es kam erneut zu langanhaltenden Protesten.

Konsultationen in diesem Zeitraum wurden von der zivilen Mission der Vereinten Nationen UNITAMS zusammen mit weiteren Akteuren geführt. Zum Sommer 2022 zeigte sich das Militär offen für Gespräche mit den zivilen Politikern der vorherigen Regierung, die fortan überwiegend unter sich im kleinen Kreis verhandelten, um die Putschsituation zu beenden. Sie einigten sich im Dezember 2022 auf ein sogenanntes Rahmenabkommen, mit dem der Grundstein für eine ausschließlich zivile Regierung gelegt werden sollte. Zuvor sollte es zur Beilegung von Streitfragen kommen, zu der auch das Thema der Sicherheitssektorreform gehörte: Wie sollte der Sicherheitssektor konkret organisiert werden? In welchem Zeitraum sollte die RSF in die Armee integriert werden? Wem sollte die RSF in der Zwischenzeit unterstehen? Am Ende gab es keine Einigkeit. Das war der Auslöser für die Schüsse und den Ausbruch des Kriegs zwischen den RSF und der sudanesischen Armee am 15. April 2023. Gleichzeitig war es eine Gelegenheit für Kräfte des früheren Regimes von Bashir, ihre Machtbasis auf Seiten der Armee und zulasten jedweder demokratisch gesinnter Kräfte zu vergrößern.

Im Unterschied zu vorherigen Bürgerkriegen Sudans begann dieser Krieg also im Zentrum des Landes und der Macht zwischen zwei konkurrierenden militärischen Einheiten. Auch wenn viele in der Zivilbevölkerung grundsätzlich beide militärischen Lager ablehnen, reicht der Krieg mittlerweile immer stärker in die ethnisch-sozialen Differenzen der Gesellschaft hinein. Hassrede und ethnisch basierte Mobilisierung spielen auf allen Seiten eine zunehmende Rolle.

Welche Rolle spielen internationale Akteure im aktuellen Konflikt?

Die internationale Einmischung ist massiv. Ausländische Regierungen unterstützen die Kriegsparteien und verlängern dadurch den Krieg. Auf der einen Seite unterstützen vor allem die Vereinigten Arabischen Emirate (VAE) die RSF, auch wenn sie das immer wieder leugnen. Diese Unterstützung geht über viele Nachbarstaaten des Sudans weiter, wo sich die VAE Einfluss erkauft haben, insbesondere über Tschad, Südsudan, aber auch über Uganda und Kenia sowie über Teile Somalias. Auf der anderen Seite steht die Armee, die die Regierung kontrolliert und auch von den Vereinten Nationen (VN) anerkannt wird. Sie sitzt mittlerweile in Port Sudan, da Khartum zwischenzeitlich stark umkämpft war. Die Armee wird militärisch von Ägypten unterstützt, dem traditionell wichtigsten Verbündeten. Zusätzliche Waffen und andere militärische Unterstützung kommen aus Iran, der Türkei, und von Russland. 

Protecting Civilians in Sudan

Even without a Ceasefire, There Are Ways to Curb the Brutal Violence against the Civilian Population

SWP Comment, 8 July 2025 (available in German, too)

The war in Sudan, which broke out on 15 April 2023 between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF), has triggered the largest humanitarian crisis in the world. Civilians are being directly attacked by the warring parties. The violent actors are destroying civilian infrastructure and blocking humanitarian aid as part of their war strategy. Some are also targeting members of specific identity groups, including on an ethnic basis. At the same time, the parties to the conflict claim to be protecting the civilian population. International efforts to pro­tect the civilian population or particularly vulnerable groups have so far been largely unsuccessful. Calls for military intervention have little chance of success in the current global situation. In fact, the committed efforts of Sudanese citizens to protect themselves and others around them deserve more attention and support. Pro­tection efforts can help alleviate the suffering of the civilian population, even if an end to the war remains out of reach.

On Sunday, 13 April 2025, the RSF captured the Zam-Zam IDP (internally displaced per­sons) camp in North Darfur. Until then, it had been the largest camp for IDPs in Sudan, containing at least half a million people. Some of them had been living there for more than 20 years, since the time they had fled from the RSF’s predecessors. According to the United Nations (UN), around 400,000 people fled the camp in just two days follow­ing its capture by the RSF, and more than 400 civilians were killed in or near the camp. One survivor told Reuters that the RSF killed 14 people who had taken shelter in a mosque. Mohammed, another survivor, said in an online press interview that the RSF had labelled the residents as “slaves”. He said that armed young people from the camp had con­tinued to resist the RSF until their ammu­nition ran out. “Without them, many more people would have been killed”, he said.

Conversely, the RSF said on their official Telegram channel that they had saved the people in Zam-Zam from the “mercenaries” in the “military base”. Abdelrahim Hamdan Dagalo, deputy leader of the RSF, was there himself and had ordered the “securing” of the camp, according to the RSF. Its leader, Mohammed Hamdan Dagalo, Abdelrahim’s brother, announced the formation of a gov­ernment for “peace and unity” in a speech two days after the camp was captured. This government is supposed to serve all Suda­nese, especially those who “have ever felt forgotten, marginalised or excluded”, said RSF leader Dagalo, who is also known as Hemedti.

At the Sudan conference in London on 15 April 2025 – the same day as Hemedti’s speech – the states and international orga­nisations present were unable to agree on a joint final declaration. Egypt and Saudi Arabia, both supporters of the SAF, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE), supporters of the RSF, were able to block an agreement. Less than one-sixth of the required inter­national aid for Sudan and the neighbour­ing states was pledged at the conference.

The protection of civilians has long been politicised in Sudan. All parties to the con­flict claim not only to be fighting in the interests of the civilian population, but also to be taking specific measures to protect them from violence. These claims are in stark contrast to their actual behaviour.

Civilians as a target

Violence against the civilian population is not a mere by-product of warfare in Sudan, it is an intrinsic aspect of the behaviour of the warring parties and their respective allies. Both the UN as well as national and international non-governmental organisa­tions (NGOs) have presented numerous detailed reports on the human rights situa­tion in Sudan. At the same time, difficulties in accessing certain regions and the some­times severely restricted telecommunica­tion services mean that many incidents are un­likely to appear in the reports. As a result, there are no exact figures on how many people have already died in the war. How­ever, it is likely that the number of direct and indirect victims has passed six figures.

The danger to the civilian population is first and foremost due to the type of mili­tary action: When using artillery, barrel bombs or other explosive weapons in cities, the warring parties do not differentiate sufficiently between combatants and non-combatants. The RSF shell hospitals with artillery and strike power stations and other civilian infrastructure with drones; the army shells schools, markets and residential areas. Both parties arrest, torture and kill humani­tarian personnel, volunteers and human rights defenders, who they accuse of cooper­ating with the other side. These are the find­ings of the Fact-Finding Mission on Sudan set up by the UN Human Rights Council.

The RSF are looting and pillaging in the places they conquer. Instead of receiving adequate pay, their troops are given a licence to loot. In addition, the RSF use sexual violence across the board, destroy agricultural equipment and rob warehouses, which jeopardises the food supply. In the Zam-Zam camp, RSF units killed the last remain­ing medical staff belonging to the NGO Refugees International before capturing it.

According to the UN panel of experts, 10,000 to 15,000 people are said to have been killed in attacks by the RSF between June and November 2023 in El Geneina, the capital of West Darfur. As a result of these attacks, a large part of the Masalit community fled across the border to Chad – their expulsion was obviously a goal of the RSF. The US State Department formally catego­rised the RSF’s actions as genocide.

The warring parties also benefit from massive external support – military, logis­tical, financial and political. The RSF are primarily supported by the UAE, with Chad, South Sudan, Uganda, Kenya and the Somali region of Puntland making their respective contributions. The SAF cooperate primarily with Egypt, Russia, Turkey, Eritrea and Iran.

However, the violence against the civilian population is not only being committed by the RSF and the SAF. Although the war began as a war between these military units, it has now spread to segments of society. Both sides use ethnically connoted rhetoric to mobilise and recruit. Some units are recruited on a tribal basis; they see the fight as an opportunity to realise their own goals against hostile groups.

Events in the state of Al-Jazeera illustrate the complexity of the violence: The RSF con­trolled the central Sudanese state – to which many people had also fled from Khartoum – between December 2023 and January 2025. The Sudan Shield Forces militia – under the leadership of Abu Aqla Kikel, a former SAF officer – played a key role in this. Under his leadership, the RSF captured the state capital, Wad Madani. In October 2024, however, Kikel defected back to the army and secured the recapture of the state a few months later.

Armed conflicts had not affected Al-Jazeera in the past. It was home to the country’s most important granary. In prior decades, seasonal labourers from other parts of the country – and from what is now South Sudan – went there. They settled there and were known as “Kanabi”. Many of them lived in camps outside the villages of the local population. The state did not provide these camps with public services such as schools and health centres, which were available in the established villages. The RSF knew how to capitalise on the resulting latent tensions by using the lan­guage of the disenfranchised. However, many Kanabi came from so-called “African” ethnic groups from the west of the country and were not treated equally by either the RSF or the Shield Forces, as a women’s rights activist from Al-Jazeera described. The RSF attacked villages they suspected of being close to Kikel after he rejoined the army. Conversely, Shield Forces attacked the Kanabi after recapturing Wad Madani for the army in early 2025.

Although many displaced people are now returning to Al-Jazeera, their relations with other ethnic groups and their confidence that the state will protect them have been severely damaged. The violence against the civilian population is also a consequence of the practice of outsourcing violence to militias and an exploitative state, which Sudan has known for decades.

Calls for international protection

At the international level, the brutal vio­lence against the civilian population in Sudan is a recurring theme of official bodies. Both the UN Security Council and the Peace and Security Council of the Afri­can Union (AU) took up the issue in 2024, but they were unable to take effective action. In June 2024, the UN Security Coun­cil passed a resolution that demanded that all warring parties protect the civilian population and that the RSF end its siege of El-Fasher, the capital of North Darfur. In October 2024, UN Secretary-General António Guterres presented a report on the protection of civilians in Sudan, but it contained hardly any measures that the UN Security Council could take itself. A draft resolution submitted by the United King­dom and Sierra Leone failed in November 2024 due to Russia’s veto; it would have instructed the Secretary-General to work with the warring parties to develop a mechanism to implement their previous voluntary commitments.

On 11 May 2023, shortly after the start of the war, the SAF and the RSF had already agreed on the Jeddah Declaration of Com­mitment to Protect the Civilians of Sudan after mediation by the United States and Saudi Arabia. It lists in detail existing obli­gations arising from international humanitarian law and international human rights law. This declaration remains one of the few common reference documents on the protection of civilians in Sudan. However, it does not contain a mechanism to monitor compliance with these obligations, review incidents or penalise violations. The United States exerted considerable pressure on the warring parties in 2024 and steadily increased the sanctions on senior leaders, including RSF leader Dagalo and SAF leader Abdelfattah al-Burhan. This pressure appears to have temporarily reduced the number of RSF attacks on El-Fasher.

The European Union (EU) is working towards an agreement between the warring parties on the protection of civilian infra­structure. This should explicitly serve as a starting point for further talks. However, in view of the widespread attacks on markets, hospitals and power stations, no agreement has yet been reached.

The idea of a military or civil-military mission to protect the civilian population has attracted international attention. The US administration under Joe Biden fuelled the discussion about a mission led by Afri­can states or the AU – but the proposal was met with little enthusiasm from the latter. Representatives of the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) spoke of a task force of up to 4,500 soldiers to monitor the implementation of the Jeddah Declaration. The UN Fact-Finding Mission on Sudan called for a protection mission, as did the then civilian Sudanese coalition Taqaddum, whose chairman, Abdallah Hamdok, also demanded a no-fly zone and security zones that would grad­ually expand.

However, these demands were strictly rejected by the parties to the conflict. Fur­thermore, practical problems were hardly discussed, such as how a large number of troops could be deployed to secure the most important combat zones and how such a mission could be financed. Even during the joint UN-AU mission in Darfur (UNAMID), which was withdrawn at the end of 2020, the security forces obstructed the mission’s active protection measures. Without the consent of the parties to the conflict and without a ceasefire, a new military mission in Sudan would effectively mean entering the war. So far, nobody seems willing to do this.

Local protection measures

At the local level, Sudanese actors are in­volved in protecting segments of the popula­tion. At the beginning of the war in particu­lar, there were a whole series of successful efforts to achieve local ceasefires, not least due to indications that the decisive battle would be fought in the centre and would not be decided in a provincial capital.

The best known – and longest lasting – efforts were those of the Elders and Media­tion Committee in El-Fasher, the capital of North Darfur state. High-ranking and com­mitted citizens of the town took the initia­tive on the third day of the war to at least ensure the proper and speedy burial of the bodies. They quickly agreed with the local representatives of the SAF and the RSF on a ceasefire and the deployment of police forces between their respective districts in the city. The committee monitored the ceasefire, clarified the movement of troops and handled any incidents. To do this, it was able to build on a long tradition of col­lective conflict management as well as its relationships and social capital with local commanders and the population. The gov­ernor of North Darfur supported the ini­tiative. A few months later, the committee also integrated representatives of armed groups from Darfur, whose leaders held gov­ernment positions (in a government controlled by the SAF) but were still mili­tarily neutral at the time.

Similar efforts were also made in other towns, for example in Ed-Daen, the capital of East Darfur – where merchants in par­ticular campaigned for peace in order to retain access to the market – or in An-Nuhud in West Kordofan. The UN Develop­ment Programme (UNDP) Sudan commissioned a study on these local peace efforts that has been made available to the author and will be published soon.

A central lesson of this revealing study is that, in Sudan, protection and peace efforts at the local level always originate from local social structures. These were often tradi­tional authorities and religious leaders, who sometimes worked together with lawyers, merchants and young activists. Humanitar­ian negotiations could often serve as a gate­way for further talks: Negotiations on medical access or the burial of war victims developed into a dialogue with the parties to the conflict, thereby improving the situa­tion of the civilian population as a whole. According to the study, this shows how important the peace aspect is in the triple nexus of humanitarian aid, development cooperation and peace-building. It was also essential for the local peace efforts to affect and include all of the relevant social groups on the ground, as long as this did not jeop­ardise their impartiality.

Nevertheless, each of the initiatives analysed also exhibited considerable weak­nesses, which are also known from other contexts (see below). Another finding from the study is that areas with a longer ex­perience of armed conflict were often better prepared to negotiate with marauding gangs and militias than the populations in those parts of the country that had been spared fighting for decades.

That said, protection should not be equated with peace measures. If there is no ceasefire, people take measures to protect themselves and those closest to them. The most important measure is to take flight. Sudan is currently experiencing the largest displacement crisis in the world. People are fleeing within the country (or to other countries) not only because of the immedi­ate war, but also because of the danger of attacks by the armed actors, hunger, and because food production and basic supplies have collapsed.

The population movements are of stra­tegic importance for the parties to the con­flict: If a warring party conquers an area and subsequently holds it, it makes a big difference to its legitimacy as to whether the civilian population flees, stays or even returns. Time and again, civilians had placed their hopes for protection in the army, which then retreated before the RSF captured a town.

Taking up arms themselves

Some people in Sudan do not want to run away, but to confront the danger to them­selves and their communities. They join the army, the RSF or one of the numerous militias, armed groups and self-defence units. Of course, widespread recruitment serves the strategic goals of the warring par­ties. There are often few other opportuni­ties for young men to earn money, espe­cially in areas where the economy has been severely damaged. There are also reports of forced recruitment and the use of minors. For some, however, the motivation to pro­tect themselves and others also plays a role.

According to a leaked internal report by the Sudanese Islamic Movement, more than 650,000 people were “mobilised” and more than 2,200 training camps were set up in the first year of the war alone. These figures refer to the areas under the control of the army.

Armed groups from Darfur have at times been involved in the protection of humanitarian supplies, refugee movements and segments of the civilian population. How­ever, as these armed groups came under increasing fire from the RSF, they ended their impartiality and declared their full support for the army in November 2023. In January 2025, the Sudan Liberation Army (SLA-AW) under Abdel Wahid al-Nur and the Gathering of Sudan Liberation Forces (GSLF) under Tahir Hajar founded a so-called neutral protection force, which was also intended to protect deliveries of civil­ian goods, but which in turn came under fire from the RSF. In addition, the GSLF’s alliance with the RSF from February 2025 called into question the impartiality of this protection force.

Humanitarian protection

Protection is a core task of humanitarian aid. Nevertheless, humanitarian actors do not necessarily agree as to what exactly constitutes humanitarian protection. The generally accepted definition of humanitarian protection, as established by the Inter-Agency Standing Committee, is not easy to grasp at first glance. Its core message is that humanitarian actors should ensure – at least in their own emergency relief work – that they protect vulnerable groups and respect the civilian status of the population.

At a local level in Sudan, networks of mutual aid – the Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs) – also fulfil protection func­tions. The ERRs, of which there are hun­dreds throughout the country, are best known for their soup kitchens, which they use to ensure the food supply of neighbouring communities, primarily in areas that are rarely accessible to international actors. The ERRs are based on the Sudanese concept of nafeer, a traditional practice of mutual support in the community. The regular joint activities of people from different back­grounds contribute to social cohesion and thus defy the polarisation caused by the war to a certain extent.

However, the ERRs go even further. In Khartoum, for example, they maintain safe spaces for women and children and also offer psychosocial support for the many traumatised people. Finally, the ERRs’ pro­tection committees help those affected to move from high-risk areas to other parts of the country. To this end, they carry out their own risk assessments in order to prior­itise the evacuation of particularly vulner­able people. They also continually research which routes are currently safe and acces­sible. According to their own statements, the ERRs have helped around 200,000 people to relocate from the capital region alone since the start of the war.

Sudan has a nationwide structure for the coordination of mutual humanitarian aid, the Localisation Coordination Council. ERRs from 13 (out of a total of 18) federal states, 9 national NGOs and, as observers, 6 inter­national NGOs participate in the arrangement. For example, the Council helped vol­unteers in Al-Jazeera to set up ERRs and evacu­ate people after the state was cap­tured by the RSF.

International aid organisations, NGOs and the UN support the ERRs and can also improve the protection of vulnerable groups in Sudan through their own measures. The presence of international aid organisations in an area can, in principle, help to ensure the non-discriminatory distribution and or­ganisation of aid. However, the authorities in Port Sudan have not yet allowed the UN to maintain permanent bases in the areas controlled by the RSF in the west, which is why international aid organisations only come to these areas on a temporary basis. Their work is made more difficult by the significant bureaucratic, logistical, financial and security challenges. It can take weeks for lorries from the Chadian border or from Port Sudan to arrive in parts of Darfur. The first UN convoy from Port Sudan to El-Fasher in a year was bombed near Al-Koma in June 2025, killing five humanitarian workers.

In August 2024, high-level UN humanitarian diplomacy succeeded in reopening the border crossing to Chad in Adré, which has remained open ever since. However, the bureaucratic obstacles of the Humanitarian Aid Commission (HAC) on the SAF side and the Sudan Agency for Relief and Humanitarian Operations (SARHO) on the RSF side are massively hampering the work of inter­national aid organisations. On the ground, armed militias are making money from every vehicle passing through the numer­ous checkpoints.

In areas where aid organisations have been active for some time, they can support local protection networks, many of which were set up before the war. For example, there were protection committees in all of Darfur’s federal states that brought together both civilian and local security authorities with representatives of the civilian popu­lation. However, even then the security forces did not always take part in meetings or showed no interest in reaching agreements. Some networks for the protection of women or for resolving tensions between farmers and herders are anchored locally and continue to function.

Finally, access to telecommunication ser­vices is important so that people can inform themselves and exchange information in order to make their own decisions about their protection. In the areas controlled by the RSF, there is no mobile phone network available because the authorities in Port Sudan have banned Sudanese mobile phone companies from operating there. Instead, people use smuggled Starlink terminals, access to which is expensive and usually controlled by the RSF or people close to them. The collapse of the electricity supply, the lack of availability of cash and the high cost of living make mobile communications difficult everywhere in Sudan, not to men­tion the damage to the telecommunications infrastructure caused by the war, not least in the Khartoum area.

Risks of and experiences with protective measures

Many political demands for the protection of the civilian population frequently refer to the idea of protection zones that are either protected or monitored by different mechanisms: by an international mission (civilian or military), through agreements with the conflict parties, the presence of hu­manitarian actors, or through remote moni­toring with satellites and other methods. According to one proposal, humanitarian partners should offer assistance in these zones and local administrations should ensure basic supplies.

Experiences with local ceasefires such as in El-Fasher show the enormous difficulties of such an approach. All local ceasefires collapsed sooner or later. Even when there were agreements with the local commanders of the conflict parties, the respective leadership groups at the national level in­sisted on military operations. Conversely, the conflict parties’ lack of an effective command and control structure makes local agreements more difficult. Although such agreements can reduce violence in one region, this then allows the parties to the conflict to intensify their offensives else­where. For example, when the RSF advanced into the state of Sennar, the violence in the previously occupied state of Al-Jazeera decreased because the troops were preoccu­pied with the offensive in the neighbouring state.

The concentration of the civilian population in protected zones that are supposedly safe places – where they may also have better access to humanitarian aid – can also benefit the strategies of the parties to the conflict: whether it is to drive out seg­ments of the population or to bring them under their own control, and thus increase their own legitimacy. If attacks do occur – such as in Wad Madani in December 2023, when hundreds of thousands fled from Khar­toum, or in El-Fasher in May 2024 – dis­placed people are particularly at risk because they have few resources of their own and lack local connections. Explicitly declaring protection zones should therefore go hand in hand with a comprehensive local conflict analysis.

Entry points for international actors

As long as the war continues, all efforts to protect civilians in Sudan will have limi­tations. Nevertheless, there are certainly opportunities to strengthen civilian protec­tion measures from the outside without a ceasefire. Given the divisions between the conflict actors and the polarised society, a ceasefire could even lead to its own wave of mass atrocities if it is not accompanied by such preventive measures.

Sudanese actors themselves have identified a need for support that includes fur­ther capacity-building and training for local mediators as well as financial support for ERRs. UNDP could expand existing regional mediation networks and create a national coordination platform, as recommended by the study that it commissioned. Inter­national support for the establishment of local monitoring and verification mechanisms for local agreements, including in the form of digital platforms, is crucial. The ERRs, with their local networks, have sig­nificant experience and are offering to become cooperation partners.

Sudanese media platforms need support and can help to combat disinformation and discriminatory language. UN member states can also assist national human rights orga­nisations and continue to support the UN Fact-Finding Mission on Sudan.

NGOs also make an important contribution and need international support. For example, Geneva Call organises training and workshops with armed actors in Sudan. Nonviolent Peaceforce still has a team in Sudan that supports the civilian population in negotiating with the warring parties on issues of daily survival, and it helps with early warnings about renewed attacks and possible displacement.

The German government should make a strong case to the conflict parties and ensure that international aid organisations have unrestricted access and can be per­manently situated throughout the country, including in areas controlled by the RSF. In addition, humanitarian aid should be more decentralised.

The German government should publicly and explicitly denounce particularly brutal attacks on the civilian population, such as during the takeover of the Zam-Zam camp for displaced persons by the RSF and the bombing of markets by the SAF. The EU should impose further sanctions against both the Sudanese perpetrators of these human rights violations and their international supporters. Reports of foreign mercenaries travelling to Sudan via European airports such as Paris and Madrid, and Emirati com­panies bringing these mercenaries to Sudan via Libya together with weapons – includ­ing European-made arms – demonstrate the need for action.

Despite the deadlock in the conflict, there are numerous starting points for Germany and its European partners to contribute to the protection of the civilian population in Sudan.

Dr Gerrit Kurtz is an Associate in the Africa and Middle East Research Division at SWP. He would like to thank all interviewees in Nairobi, Kampala and online (also in Sudan) as well as Wibke Hansen and Judith Vorrath for their helpful comments.

Photo: Mutual aid kitchen in Khartoum, June 2025. Published by Khartoum Aid Kitchen on X

Die Gewalt gegen die Zivilbevölkerung in Sudan ist leider kein Einzelfall

Interview mit NDR Info, 15.April 2025.

Ein baldiger Frieden sei nicht in Sicht. Sowohl Armee als auch RSF greifen Zivilisten gezielt an, sagt Gerrit Kurz von der Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik.

“There is a high risk of targeted attacks against civilians”

Aiyn Network, 22 June 2024

Quotes in: Experts ask for a new civilian protection force in Sudan, https://3ayin.com/en/civilprotection/

“Gerrit Kurtz, a researcher at the German Institute for International and Security Affairs, sees little chance of passing such a resolution via the UN Security Council and places more hope through regional mechanisms. “The UN Security Council is largely blocked because of the bad relations between Russia on the one side and the US, UK and France on the other among the permanent members. Therefore, only the AU Peace and Security Council or the AU Assembly could authorise an African deployment,” he said.”

“Kurtz warns of further mass atrocities perpetrated by hate speech. He expressed concern that the current polarisation is taking on a tribal dimension and that civilians arm themselves either for self-defence or to join a warring party. “There is a high risk of targeted attacks against civilians based on their ethnic identity if the RSF manage to capture El Fasher,” he said.”

“Kurtz argues that the international community could exert more influence over the warring parties, especially given the significant financial and military flows benefiting them.”

Sudan-Experte: «Der Konflikt hat sich fragmentiert»

SRF Radio, Echo der Zeit, 7.6.2024

Seit über einem Jahr tobt im Sudan ein brutaler Konflikt. Es handelt sich dabei um eine der grössten humanitären Krisen der Welt. Trotzdem bleibt der Krieg weitgehend ausserhalb des Blickfelds der internationalen Öffentlichkeit. Wie die militärische Lage derzeit aussieht, schildert der Sudan-Experte Gerrit Kurz.

Everybody’s Business

The War in Sudan as a Threat to International Peace and Security

This article was published by Verfassungsblog on 21 December 2023.

War has devastated Sudan since it first broke out on 15 April 2023. What started as a power play between the country’s two most powerful armies, the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF), has since metastasized into a major civil war. International actors have not paid this war the high-level attention it requires and deserves. On 1 December, the UN Security Council decided to terminate the mandate of the UN International Transition Assistance Mission in Sudan (UNITAMS), a political mission originally tasked with supporting Sudan’s transition to democracy. While the Council acted on a short-term request by the Sudanese authorities (controlled by SAF), it has not been able to agree on a substantive resolution since the war started. Driven by divisions, it has abdicated its responsibility under the UN Charter.

In this blog post, I explain why international actors need to pay more attention to what is happening in the strategically located country at the crossroads between the Red Sea and the Sahel, between the Arab and African worlds. The war threatens Sudan’s integrity as a state, displaces millions and draws in neighbouring and other regional countries, all in a region already in turmoil because of coups, insurgencies and violent extremism.

A War within the Security Sector

The conflict originates in a competition between the regular armed forces, the SAF, and the paramilitary force, RSF, for control over the security sector and ultimately the state as a whole. Having dislodged long-term ruler Omer al-Bashir from power in the face of broad public protests in April 2019, SAF and RSF agreed to share power with civilian parties a few months later. In October 2021, they felt the civilians were overreaching, arrested the civilian prime minister and declared a state of emergency. Since then, they have not been able to agree on forming a new government, trying instead to seize power yet again, this time from each other. This has led to the current hostilities.

While the conflict parties increasingly appeal to ethnic and racial identities to mobilize support, many Sudanese do not consider themselves truly represented by either armed force. The SAF, whose leadership comes from the riverine region of Central and Northern Sudan, are supported by elements of the former Islamist government as well as some armed groups. SAF generals look down on the RSF, whose commanders they consider uneducated. The RSF was created out of informal Arab militias, called “Janjaweed”, who embraced an ideology of Arab Supremacy already during the genocidal violence against non-Arab groups such as the Masalit and Zaghawa in Darfur in the West of Sudan twenty years ago. Since then, the RSF have recruited widely among Sudan’s peripheral communities, drawing on citizens of other Sahelian states (such as Chad) and co-opting units from SAF and other armed groups.

The Destruction of a Major African Capital

The war has wreaked havoc on Khartoum and the adjoining cities of Omdurman and Bahri. The RSF have captured most of the tri-state capital area, as they continue to engage in fierce artillery battles with the SAF. RSF troops occupy residential areas and loot vehicles and other valuables on a large scale. Around 37% of Khartoum state’s pre-war population of 9.4 million have left their homes. This will be the bulk of the country’s political and economic elite, its upper and middle class and others with means to make the journey. With records of their properties being deliberately destroyed, they will struggle to return. This is by design: Many RSF fighters, coming from the country’s poor peripheries, feel that the riverine elite that has dominated Sudan for decades has marginalized and instrumentalized them. Thus, while successive Sudanese governments have equipped and supported some Nomad communities, for example, to fight insurgencies for them, Nomad children go to primary school far less often than their peers from displaced communities. For those RSF fighters sensing a lack of respect, this is payback time. The result: a major African capital is falling apart in an effort to reshape the country. In time, this could lead to the split of Sudan into several territories, as the SAF-controlled ministries have already moved their administration to Port Sudan on the Red Sea coast.

The World’s Largest IDP Crisis

Sudan now also presents the world’s largest internal displacement crisis. Since the war started, out of a total population of around 49 million, 5.4 million people have been internally displaced, while more than 1.4 million have crossed into other countries (mainly Chad, Egypt and South Sudan). When fighting broke out, Sudan already had around 3.7 million IDPs, mainly in Darfur, and 800,000 Sudanese were already refugees in third countries. Sudan was also hosting more than a million refugees from other countries such as South Sudan. Many of the latter have now sought to return home (or make their way to third countries). All told, there are likely more than ten million Sudanese that have left their homes both before and after the war started. With every new offensive, there are going to be more people fleeing from one place to the next.

The Commission of International Crimes

What is more, the conflict parties are likely committing international crimes. SAF engages in indiscriminate bombing, killing civilians in the process. RSF fighters and allied Arab militias loot properties, engage in sexual and gender-based violence and kill members of non-Arab groups, in particular Masalit. 68 villages in the greater Darfur area showed signs of fire damage, some were burnt down almost completely.

Many of these atrocities have taken place in West Darfur, where most Masalit used to live. Now around half a million have fled over the border to Chad. A detailed Reuters investigation based on interviews with survivors and open-source information found that the SAF officers had deserted the base in Ardamata in early November when they could no longer defend it. The remaining SAF rank and file and members of an allied Masalit armed group negotiated a surrender with the dominant RSF troops and gave up their weapons in exchange for promises to be spared. Instead, the RSF ordered the men out of the houses and started shooting them, targeting mainly the Masalit. Perhaps 1300 people were killed within two or three days.

Several international actors have classified these and other acts by the belligerents as international crimes, i.e. as erga omnes violations of international law. This means that all states have an obligation to prevent them. On 6 December, the US State Department issued an “atrocity determination”, where it formally found that the SAF and the RSF had committed war crimes and the RSF had committed also crimes against humanity and ethnic cleansing as laid out above. Previously, Alice Wairimi Nderitu, the UN Special Advisor on the Prevention of Genocide, observed after a visit to refugee camps in Chad that many risk factors of genocide were in place. “In Darfur, innocent civilians are being targeted on the basis of race,” she said earlier.

Adding Fuel to Fire

Regional actors further fuel the conflict by delivering arms or allowing those deliveries to take place via their respective territories. The UAE supports the RSF with weapons and vehicles through Chad. Libya (under Haftar), Kenya, Uganda, the Central African Republic and more recently Ethiopia also seem to be involved in facilitating such shipments, as have been Russian mercenaries in Libya and CAR. In contrast, Egypt supports the SAF with weapons and other military support, including guns for tens of thousands of newly recruited SAF soldiers as well as Turkish Bayraktar drones. There have also been reports about Ukrainian drones and special forces supporting SAF, although the sourcing was relatively thin.

Insofar as they enter Darfur, many of those arms deliveries are a violation of the UN Security Council arms embargo on Darfur originally imposed in 2005. Even though it was never very effective as it only applied to one region within a larger country, it still provides ground for in-depth investigations by the UN Panel of Experts whose next report is due in early 2024.

The Threat of Spill Over

The war in Sudan is likely to spill over to neighbouring countries in various ways. Currently, the most-watched case is Chad. President Deby plays a risky balancing game by allowing the UAE to use Chadian territory for arms supplies to the RSF. The RSF have incorporated a significant number of Chadian Arabs and are increasingly getting into conflict with the Zaghawa in Darfur, the same ethnic group of Deby’s governmental elite. Unrest within the Chadian elite may lead to a military coup, or returning Chadian Arab fighters may strengthen armed opposition groups and ignite a civil war.

South Sudan’s transitional government may also feel the heat from the war in Sudan. Angelina Teny, South Sudan’s interior minister, confirmed that South Sudanese have joined both SAF and RSF. These might later return to their home country with their military equipment and join any number of armed opposition groups. Furthermore, small arms are flooding informal markets in Sudan at cheap prices.

Moreover, the hostilities threaten to disrupt the export of oil from the South to markets via the pipelines to Port Sudan. This might bankrupt South Sudan’s kleptocratic government at a time this money is needed to smooth over differences resulting from planned but likely flawed elections in December 2024.

Flawed Mediation Efforts

Mediation efforts by international and regional actors have not succeeded in halting the violence so far. Their response has been lacklustre, with no sustained high-level commitment. Mediators also continue to follow a deeply flawed approach. They focus excessively on SAF and RSF as well as their respective leaders, General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, SAF’s commander-in-chief, and General Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo, called Hemedti, RSF’s commander.

For example, on 9 December, an extraordinary summit of the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD), the regional organisation in the Horn of Africa, heard pledges from both Burhan and Hemedti for a personal one-on-one meeting as well as for an “unconditional ceasefire.” This ignores that neither of them appears capable of controlling the war on their own anymore, given the significant role of elements of the former regime, ethnic militias as well as other armed groups, some of which have increased the territory under their control in the Nuba mountains and in Central Darfur. Moreover, IGAD and AU member states lack leverage in holding the belligerents accountable. Within a week after these pledges, the SAF bombed Nyala, the capital of South Darfur, and the RSF started a major offensive in Al Jazeera state in central Sudan, a major humanitarian hub and breadbasket of the country. The RSF captured the state capital Wad Madani within four days.

What is urgently needed is a multi-stakeholder dialogue, something that a joint AU and IGAD team has been preparing for months. However, there are disagreements regarding the participation of the conflict parties as well as representatives of the former Bashir regime, which some civilian parties reject out of hand. It remains to be seen whether the Coordination of Civil Democratic Forces or “Taqaddum”, a new civilian coalition whose preparatory committee was founded in Addis Abba in October, can prove more effective. They are in touch with the conflict parties based on their own roadmap.

A Threat to International Peace and Security

The war in Sudan poses a threat to international peace and security, requiring European actors including Germany to engage more forcefully. Encouraging regional actors to convene a credible multi-stakeholder and potentially sequenced dialogue is one way. States such as the UAE and Egypt that are fuelling the war with arms deliveries should also be held accountable, at least by calling them out. The EU should also start adding names to the sanctions regime on Sudan that it created in October and ensure that companies active in its common market do not interact with the RSF, SAF and their respective economic entities.

Mobilising diplomatic and political capital to stop the war in Sudan is not just the right thing to do, it should be everybody’s business given the high stakes involved.

Die Folgen der Straflosigkeit im Sudan

Im Schatten des Kriegs zwischen den Sicherheitskräften im Sudan greifen die »Rapid Support Forces« (RSF) und verbündete Milizen immer wieder gezielt einzelne ethnische Gruppen an. Nun droht der Konflikt sich auf den Tschad auszuweiten.

Dieser Text erschien am 17.November 2023 bei Zenith Online.

In den vergangenen Wochen konnten die »Rapid Support Forces« (RSF) einige militärische Erfolge im Krieg gegen die Sudanesische Armee (SAF) erzielen. Sie eroberten Kasernen in drei Landeshauptstädten im westlichen Darfur: Nyala (Süd-Darfur), Zalingei (Zentral-Darfur) und El-Geneina (West-Darfur) sowie ein Ölfeld in West-Kordofan. Die paramilitärischen RSF kontrollieren mittlerweile weite Gebiete des Landes westlich des Nils sowie einen großen Teil von Khartum. Mehr als sieben Monate nach Beginn des Kriegs um die Vorherrschaft im Sicherheitssektor ist kein baldiges Ende in Sicht.

Die Gewalt beschränkt sich aber nicht auf Auseinandersetzungen zwischen den Hauptkonfliktparteien RSF und SAF. Beide Seiten nehmen keine Rücksicht auf die Zivilbevölkerung. Die RSF plündern und besetzen private Wohnhäuser, während die SAF mit wenig präziser Artillerie und Luftschlägen auf RSF-Positionen zivile Opfer in Kauf nehmen.

Insbesondere gegen die RSF werden jedoch weit schwerwiegendere Vorwürfe laut: Im August schlugen UN-Experten, die vom UN-Menschenrechtsrat eingesetzt wurden, Alarm, dass die RSF sexuelle Gewalt einsetzten, um die Zivilbevölkerung »zu bestrafen und zu terrorisieren«. Laut Zeugenaussagen entführen RSF-Angehörige Frauen und halten sie unter »Sklaverei-ähnlichen Bedingungen«.

Politische Führer der Masalit sowie Anwälte und Aktivisten wurden gezielt ermordet

Die RSF und verbündete arabische Milizen gehen teilweise gezielt gegen Angehörige einiger ethnischer Gruppen vor. Dies betrifft insbesondere die Masalit, eine nicht-arabische Gruppe, die hauptsächlich in West-Darfur beheimatet ist. Seit dem Beginn des Kriegs sind mehrere Vorfälle bekannt geworden, in denen RSF und verbündete arabische Milizen (die nicht immer klar voneinander zu unterscheiden sind) für Massentötungen von Masalit verantwortlich gemacht werden. Ein erster Höhepunkt dieser Art von massenhafter Gewalt gegen die Masalit war zwischen Ende April und Juni, der zweite Anfang November.

Augenzeugen sprachen davon, dass Menschen in El-Geneina aufgrund ihrer Hautfarbe angegriffen wurden. Männer im wehrfähigen Alter wurden getötet, Frauen vergewaltigt, zivile Einrichtungen geplündert. Politische Führer der Masalit sowie Anwälte und Aktivisten wurden gezielt ermordet. Als Khamis Abdullah Abkar, der Gouverneur von West-Darfur und Führer der »Sudanese Alliance«, am 14. Juni in einem Interview davon sprach, dass die RSF für die massenhafte Gewalt der letzten Wochen verantwortlich sei, während die SAF tatenlos in ihrer Kaserne sitze, wurde er kurz darauf umgebracht. Eine unabhängige Konfliktbeobachtungsplattform, die vom US-Außenministerium unterstützt wird, stufte diese Tat als extralegale Tötung ein.

Angaben über die genauen Opferzahlen sind schwierig wegen des begrenzten Zugangs unabhängiger Akteure. Menschen, die mit den Vereinten Nationen kurz nach ihrer Ankunft in Tschad sprachen, berichteten jedoch übereinstimmend von verwesenden Leichen in den Straßen und am Wegesrand. Allein auf einem Friedhof in El-Geinena sollen mehr als 1.000 Tote bis Mitte Juni begraben worden sein. Die Analyse von Satellitenbildern zeigt, dass zwischen April und Mitte Oktober 68 Orte in der Region Darfur Feuerschäden aufweisen. Einige, die vor allem von nicht-arabischen Minderheiten bewohnt wurden, wurden fast vollständig niedergebrannt.

Ardamata wäre mit bis zu 1.300 Toten das größte Einzelmassaker seit Beginn des Kriegs im April

Hundertausende entflohen dieser Gewalt, mittlerweile über eine halbe Million über die nahe Grenze nach Tschad. Einige Masalit wagten nicht die gefährliche Reise über die Grenze, sondern flohen in die SAF-Basis in Adarmata, einem Vorort von El-Geneina. Als die RSF die Kaserne der SAF dort schließlich am 4. November 2023 einnahmen, verübten sie innerhalb weniger Tage ein erneutes Massaker an den Masalit. Das Un-Flüchtlingshilfswerk UNHCR sprach von mehr als 800 Opfern, eine lokale NGO von 1.300 Menschen, deren Namen sie erfasst habe. Ardamata wäre damit das größte Einzelmassaker seit Beginn des Kriegs im April.

Diese identitätsbasierte Gewalt steht einerseits in einem engen Zusammenhang zum Krieg zwischen RSF und SAF, andererseits hat sie deutlich längere und tiefere Wurzeln. Beide Episoden massenhafter Gewalt ereigneten sich im Zusammenhang mit Kämpfen zwischen RSF und SAF in West-Darfur. Kämpfer der »Sudanese Alliance«, einer bewaffneten Gruppe, die Teil des Juba-Friedensabkommens (JPA) von 2020 ist, verstärkten nach der gezielten Gewalt gegen die Masalit im Frühjahr die Verteidigung der Kaserne, in die sich auch viele Zivilisten geflüchtet hatten.

Die UN wollen Vorwürfen nachgehen, nachdem es auch Angriffe von Masalit-Milizen auf arabische Personen in den letzten Wochen in Ardamata gegeben habe. Dies scheint aber wenig an der Überlegenheit der RSF und arabischen Milizen sowie an der Einseitigkeit der Gewalt gegen die Masalit zu ändern, wie es sie in West-Darfur seit 2019 episodenhaft mehrfach gegeben hat.

Die Gräueltaten der RSF und der mit ihnen verbündeten arabischen Milizen in Darfur verkomplizieren die Vermittlungsbemühungen. Mittlerweile gibt es zwar eindeutige Äußerungen internationaler Akteure, doch diesen Worten Nachdruck zu verleihen, erweist sich als schwieriger: »Was dort geschieht, grenzt an das pure Böse« (Clementine Nkweta-Salami, Stellvertretende Leiterin der UN-Mission in Sudan), » alle Kennzeichen ethnischer Säuberung« (Andrew Mitchell, britischer Staatssekretär für Afrika), »Die internationale Gemeinschaft kann nicht die Augen vor den Geschehnissen in Darfur verschließen und einen weiteren Völkermord in dieser Region zulassen.« (Josep Borell, Hoher Repräsentant der EU).

Der Internationale Strafgerichtshof sieht die derzeitigen Vorfälle als Teil seines 2005 für Darfur erteilten Mandats

Im Oktober setzte der UN-Menschenrechtsrat eine internationale Untersuchungsmission ein, die Beweise für Menschenrechtsverletzungen sammeln soll, die in zukünftigen Gerichtsprozessen genutzt werden könnten. Der Internationale Strafgerichtshof gab im Juli bekannt, dass er die derzeitigen Vorfälle als Teil seines 2005 für Darfur erteilten Mandats sieht. Dass diese Mechanismen abschreckend auf die RSF wirken könnten, ist bisher nicht abzusehen.

Internationale Vermittlungsbemühungen für den Krieg in Sudan haben bisher kein separates Augenmerk auf die besondere Art der Gewalt in Darfur gelegt. Die RSF scheinen sich ohnehin um ihre Versprechen wenig zu scheren. Währen ihre Delegierten in Dschidda sich zur Verbesserung des humanitären Zugangs bekannten, begingen die RSF-Milizen das Massaker von Ardamata. Abdelrahim Dagalo, der Stellvertretende Kommandeur der RSF, der bei den jüngsten militärischen Erfolgen in Darfur zugegen war, sprach kurz danach davon, die »Kriminellen«, die das Land für dreißig Jahre regiert hätten, »endgültig zu eliminieren«.

Derweil kündigt sich eine weitere Eskalation der Gewalt im Kampf um El-Fasher an, die Hauptstadt Nord-Darfurs und letzte Hochburg der SAF in der Region. Am 16. November verkündeten bewaffnete Gruppen aus Darfur, die um El-Fasher Tausende Kämpfer kontrollieren, dass sie ihre bisherige Neutralität aufgeben und auf der Seite der SAF in den Krieg einsteigen wollten. El-Fasher hat über eine Million Einwohner, davon eine halbe Million Binnenvertriebene. Die RSF könnten den Einstieg der bewaffneten Gruppen als Grund nehmen, auch gegen andere nicht-arabische Bevölkerungsgruppen wie die Zaghawa und Fur gezielt vorzugehen, wie bereits vor zwanzig Jahren.

Dies könnte nicht zuletzt die Regierung von Tschad vor weitere Herausforderungen stellen, da ihre Regierungselite aus Zaghawa besteht, aber gleichzeitig den Vereinigten Arabischen Emiraten erlaubt, über Amdjarass im Nordosten Tschads Waffen an die RSF zu liefern. Eine weitere regionale Eskalation des Kriegs in Sudan wird damit wahrscheinlicher.

Sudan: Wege aus der Krise

Podcast, Heinrich-Böll-Stiftung, 24.Oktober 2023

Link zum Podcast

Von 1989 bis 2019 wurde Sudan vom autoritären Staatspräsidenten Umar al-Baschir regiert. In diese Zeit fiel unter anderem der grausame Konflikt in der Darfur-Region, den die damalige US-Regierung als Völkermord bezeichnete. 2019 keimte kurz Hoffnung auf, nachdem al-Bashir nach Protesten der Bevölkerung gestürzt und eine Übergangsregierung gebildet wurde. In dieser Übergangsregierung saßen erstmals zivile und militärische Vertreter zusammen und die Hoffnung war groß, mittelfristig eine rein zivile Regierung bilden zu können, aber die bewaffneten Kräfte des Landes spielten hier nicht mit. Im Jahr 2021 kam es zu einem Militärputsch. Und im Jahr 2023 kam es dann noch schlimmer, als sich die zwei führenden Militärformationen des Sudans, die sich an die Macht geputscht hatten, überwarfen und das Land in einen Bürgerkrieg stürzten. Ein Gespräch über die verfahrene Lage im Sudan und Wege aus der Krise mit Gerrit Kurtz (SWP).